WHAT YOU’LL LEARN
Seeing a water stain on the ceiling after a Winnipeg cold snap doesn’t always mean your roof is leaking.
Most stains show up when attic condensation melts and drips through insulation, especially after a week of extreme cold followed by sun or a thaw.
Brown spots near attic hatches, bathroom fans, recessed lights, or exterior walls are warning signs, while ice dams on your eaves or water stains tracking along walls point to leaks caused by outdoor water pushing past damaged shingles or flashing.
In This Article:
You’re walking through your living room, coffee in hand, when you look up and see it: a discoloured, brownish patch that definitely wasn’t there last week. You’ve got a water stain on the ceiling.
Your stomach drops, with dollar signs flashing before your eyes. You envision buckets catching drips and a massive hole in your roof letting the snow in (and your hard-earned money out).
Finding a water stain on your ceiling is stressful, but it doesn’t always mean a winter roof failure.
Roof Leak vs. Attic Condensation
Most homeowners assume that water coming through the ceiling means water is coming in from the outside. That’s a logical assumption, but in cold climates like Manitoba, the water often comes from inside your house.
Attic condensation happens when warm air from your living space escapes into your cold attic. When that warm air hits the freezing cold underside of your roof deck (the solid surface layer of plywood installed over the rafters or trusses), it turns into frost.

As the temperature fluctuates or the sun hits your roof, that frost melts. Gravity takes over, and suddenly you have water dripping onto your insulation and soaking through to your ceiling.
A roof leak, on the other hand, is an external breach. Perhaps shingles have blown off, flashing has failed around a chimney, or ice dams have forced water backward under the shingles.
Distinguishing between the two can be tricky, but look for these clues:
→ Timing: Did the stain appear after a sudden cold snap followed by a slightly warmer day? That points to condensation (frost melting). Did it appear during a heavy rain (in summer) or a massive thaw where snow was melting rapidly on the roof? That leans more toward a leak.
→ Location: Is the stain near a light fixture, bathroom fan, or attic hatch? These are common air leakage points where warm air blasts into the attic, causing localized condensation.
→ Quantity: Condensation usually results in damp spots or slow, annoying drips, while a major roof leak often produces a more steady, active flow of water.
Why Winnipeg Winters Cause Attic Condensation
Here in Winnipeg, we seal our homes up tight to keep the -30°C air out, but we also generate a massive amount of moisture inside.
Cooking, showering, doing laundry, and even breathing add humidity to your indoor air. Believe it or not, a family of four can generate up to 10-15 litres of moisture per day just through everyday activities.
If your attic ventilation isn’t balanced, or if you have air leaks in your ceiling (like around pot lights), that moisture then travels up.
In the summer, this isn’t a huge deal: the attic is hot, and moisture evaporates. In the winter, though, your attic is a freezer. That moisture hits the roof sheathing and freezes instantly. You might have an entire layer of frost on the underside of your roof right now and not know it.
The problem starts when we get those weird February warm spells or sunny days, when the frost melts faster than the attic ventilation can dry it out. That water has nowhere to go but down, eventually creating that ominous water stain on your ceiling.
The “Stack Effect” and Your Ceiling
To understand why ceiling water stains happen without a hole in your roof, you have to understand the “stack effect.”
Think of your house like a chimney. Warm air is lighter than cold air, so it rises. In the winter, the warm air inside your home pushes upward against your ceiling, looking for any tiny crack to escape into the attic.
At the same time, cold air is trying to suck in from the bottom of your house (rim joists, basement windows) to replace the rising warm air.
This pressure forces warm, humid indoor air through penetrations in your ceiling.

We often see this around:
- Recessed lighting (pot lights)
- Bathroom exhaust fans
- Attic hatches
- Plumbing stacks
- Smoke detectors
If these areas aren’t properly sealed with vapour barriers and insulation, you’re essentially pumping humidity into a cold space. Identifying and resolving these air leaks is often the fix.
The Most Common Signs of Roof Leaks
While condensation is common, actual leaks do happen. Winter creates brutal conditions for roofing materials. Shingles get brittle, and ice dams create chaos.
Identifying roof leaks in the winter is difficult because you can’t exactly climb up there safely to check, but the stain inside your home can tell a story.
Brown, Ringed Stains: If the water stain on ceiling plaster is dark brown with distinct rings, it usually means the water has been pooling there for a while, drying, and then pooling again. This cyclical pattern often indicates a recurring leak or persistent condensation issue.
Exterior Walls: If the water is running down an exterior wall or the stain is right at the edge of the ceiling where it meets the wall, ice dams may be the culprit. Ice dams form at the roof’s edge, preventing melting snow from draining. The water then backs up and seeps under the shingles.

Chimneys and Skylights: If the stain is directly adjacent to a chimney or skylight, flashing failure might be the problem. Metal flashing contracts in the cold, and sealants can crack, opening up gaps for water intrusion.
Water Stain on Ceiling? What to Do Before Spring Arrives
So, you have a water stain on your ceiling. What now?
Unless water is pouring in, it’s likely not an emergency that requires a dangerous mid-winter roof repair. Instead:
1. Monitor the Stain
Take a pencil and lightly mark the edge of the water stain. Check it again in 24 hours. Is it growing? If it stops growing, it might have been a one-time condensation melt event. If it keeps expanding, you likely have an active moisture source.
2. Check Your Humidity
Buy a hygrometer (humidity monitor) for your home. In the dead of a Winnipeg winter, your indoor humidity should be around 25-30%. If you’re sitting at 40% or higher, you’re feeding the condensation monster in your attic. Turn down your humidifier and run your bathroom fans longer.
3. Look for Ice Dams
Go outside and look at your roof eaves. Do you see massive icicles or a thick ridge of ice at the gutter line? If the answer is yes, you likely have a leak caused by the dam. Just don’t try to hack the ice off with an axe, as you’re likely to damage your shingles.
4. Schedule a Spring Assessment
Since winter fixes are often only temporary patches, the goal is to get on the schedule for a proper inspection as soon as the snow clears.

Don’t Let a Stain Become a Bigger Problem
At New Heights Roofing, we begin with diagnostics. Rather than just quote you a new roof, we’ll check your attic ventilation, look for those air bypasses around light fixtures, and inspect the flashing. We’ll determine if you need a roofer or if you need better attic insulation and air sealing.
If you’re staring at a stain on your ceiling right now, take a photo of it. Keep a log of when it changes. Then, give us a call at 1-431-800-4597. We’ll help you figure out the cause and make clear recommendations.






